Awaiting summarization
Will the price of natural gas fall below $2,800?
Volume~$36
YES chance
DescriptionDuring trading on July 10, 2026, natural gas (NG) futures plummeted to $2.909. Two powerful factors put pressure on the market: the start of scheduled maintenance at the large Freeport LNG plant in Texas (which temporarily reduces export demand from the U.S.) and a larger-than-expected increase in gas inventories at EIA storage facilities (by 61 billion cubic feet). Technical indicators on the daily chart are sending a strong “Sell” signal. The question is whether this powerful bearish momentum will be able to push the price below the strong support level of $2,800 in the second half of July.
ConditionsYes: if, between July 17 and 27, 2026, the settlement price of natural gas (NG) futures on the CME is ≤ $2,800 at least once.No: if, between July 17 and 27, 2026, the price of natural gas futures is strictly > $2,800.
Timeline
OpenedJul 10, 2026, 7:12 PM
Closes
Jul 16, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
OpenedJul 10, 2026, 7:12 PM
Closes
Jul 16, 2026, 8:59 PMChecking results
—EndsJul 28, 2026, 8:59 PM
ActivityView all
Top poll holdersView all
Voted for YES
#
User
Vol.
1
FirmGang
FirmGang3 BPCX
Voted for NO
#
User
Vol.
1
BlitheWits
BlitheWits27 BPCX
2
MotileGiro
MotileGiro6 BPCX
Awaiting summarization
Will the price of natural gas fall below $2,800?
Volume~$36
DescriptionDuring trading on July 10, 2026, natural gas (NG) futures plummeted to $2.909. Two powerful factors put pressure on the market: the start of scheduled maintenance at the large Freeport LNG plant in Texas (which temporarily reduces export demand from the U.S.) and a larger-than-expected increase in gas inventories at EIA storage facilities (by 61 billion cubic feet). Technical indicators on the daily chart are sending a strong “Sell” signal. The question is whether this powerful bearish momentum will be able to push the price below the strong support level of $2,800 in the second half of July.
Event results
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